S&P500 Review and Outlook Aug 11, 2018

Since last post on S&P500 back on 15th July, it has been almost a month now. It is a good time to see if the projection made back then has worked out as expected. Following is an update 30-minute chart of Emini S&P.



What was expected:

a. Consolidation likely

b. If we see a pullback, the red zone would be the support

What actually happened:

1. 3 weeks of consolidation (light blue zone) where the price keeps getting back to the same starting level (the blue box)

2. Pullback happened at a higher level without touching the support area (red zone)


So what else happened:

3. S&P chose to hold the up trendline (the blue up arrows) giving it a go for new high

4. News shock past 2 days sent S&P back down to the pocket (lime zone) and bounced

What it means is that the up trend is intact with more upside likely.

What we cannot tell is what will happen at the all time high, which is just some 10 points above last week high, if and when S&P finally challenging that.

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Nice Catch: S&P500 July 3 to July 13, 2018

Here is my trading analysis made during July 3 to July 13. The outlook was explained in my real-time commentary. Here is a recap of what I saw and the potential outlook from here.

Following is a 30-min regular trading session (RTH) only chart of Emini S&P500 future contract.


By the end of the week of June 29, 2018. marked by the dark green up arrow, we have a very volatile week that swing back and forth almost 2% everyday.

Yet something very interesting happened – an inverse head and shoulders will be formed if the neckline at the top is cleared.

The red horizontal lines highlight the shoulders and the green horizontal lines highlight the head.

The best moment for jumping into this move is marked by the bright green arrow for which a confirmed 1-2-3 buy happened.

The target highlighted by the red box is expected to at least give us a pause using my trend line targeting method.

The blue box highlights the Inverse Head and Shoulders target for which consolidation and pullback is likely to follow.